{"id":328,"date":"2024-10-28T22:57:05","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T14:57:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/?post_type=epkb_post_type_1&#038;p=328"},"modified":"2024-11-21T15:53:14","modified_gmt":"2024-11-21T07:53:14","slug":"%e9%9c%80%e6%b1%82%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95","status":"publish","type":"epkb_post_type_1","link":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/?epkb_post_type_1=%e9%9c%80%e6%b1%82%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95","title":{"rendered":"\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ba1\u7406\u4e2d\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u73af\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u5408\u7406\u5b89\u6392\u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u5e93\u5b58\u548c\u9500\u552e\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5206\u4e3a\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e00\u3001\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u671f\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u6ce2\u52a8\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u52a0\u6743\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747<\/strong>\uff1a\u4e0e\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u95f4\u6bb5\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u8d4b\u4e88\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u66f4\u91cd\u89c6\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5feb\u901f\u54cd\u5e94\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\uff1a\u5229\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u6216\u591a\u4e2a\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\uff08\u5982\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u5e7f\u544a\u652f\u51fa\u7b49\uff09\u4e0e\u9700\u6c42\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u5b58\u5728\u660e\u786e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u591a\u5143\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\uff1a\u540c\u65f6\u8003\u8651\u591a\u4e2a\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u591a\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\uff08\u5982\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3001\u4fc3\u9500\u6d3b\u52a8\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u8d8b\u52bf\u7b49\uff09\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u627e\u51fa\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u5b50\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5229\u7528\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u539f\u7406\u548c\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u5efa\u7acb\u9700\u6c42\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u7d20\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u548c\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7b97\u6cd5\uff08\u5982\u652f\u6301\u5411\u91cf\u673a\u3001\u968f\u673a\u68ee\u6797\u7b49\uff09\u5206\u6790\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6355\u6349\u9700\u6c42\u6a21\u5f0f\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u9002\u5408\u5904\u7406\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u548c\u590d\u6742\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u8c03\u6574<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u9488\u5bf9\u5177\u6709\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5982\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6307\u6570\u6cd5\uff0c\u8c03\u6574\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u6d88\u9664\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e8c\u3001\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u4e13\u5bb6\u5224\u65ad<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5229\u7528\u884c\u4e1a\u4e13\u5bb6\u6216\u5185\u90e8\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u548c\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u9002\u5408\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u8db3\u6216\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\u8f83\u5feb\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5e02\u573a\u8c03\u7814<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u95ee\u5377\u8c03\u67e5\u3001\u8bbf\u8c08\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6536\u96c6\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u548c\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5fb7\u5c14\u83f2\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u591a\u8f6e\u533f\u540d\u95ee\u5377\u8c03\u67e5\u6536\u96c6\u4e13\u5bb6\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u7ecf\u8fc7\u53cd\u9988\u4e0e\u8ba8\u8bba\u9010\u6b65\u5f62\u6210\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7126\u70b9\u5c0f\u7ec4\u8ba8\u8bba<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5c0f\u7ec4\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0e\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u4e92\u52a8\u4e86\u89e3\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u8d2d\u4e70\u610f\u5411\uff0c\u8f85\u52a9\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5e02\u573a\u8bd5\u9a8c<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5728\u5c0f\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u4ea7\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u89c2\u5bdf\u5e02\u573a\u53cd\u5e94\u548c\u9500\u552e\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e09\u3001\u7ed3\u5408\u5b9a\u91cf\u548c\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u6df7\u5408\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u7ed3\u5408\u5b9a\u91cf\u548c\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u521d\u6b65\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u518d\u901a\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u8c03\u7814\u548c\u4e13\u5bb6\u5224\u65ad\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6eda\u52a8\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5b9a\u671f\u66f4\u65b0\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u53ca\u65f6\u8c03\u6574\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u548c\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u901a\u8fc7\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5e94\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u5e93\u5b58\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u5ba2\u6237\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5728\u7ade\u4e89\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5b9a\u91cf\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ca\u6848\u4f8b\uff1a<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\uff0c<strong>\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong>\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u9760\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u8f83\u4e3a\u5145\u8db3\u4e14\u9700\u6c42\u89c4\u5f8b\u6027\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u8fc7\u53bb\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u627e\u51fa\u8d8b\u52bf\u3001\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u548c\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u5316\u7b49\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u5b9a\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\u5305\u62ec\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5\u3001\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\u548c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e00\u3001\u5e38\u89c1\u5b9a\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5\uff08Moving Average Method\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a<ul><li>\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u67d0\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\u5185\u82e5\u5e72\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0b\u4e00\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u9002\u5408\u6ca1\u6709\u663e\u8457\u8d8b\u52bf\u6216\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/li><li><strong>\u4f8b\u5b50<\/strong>\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u8fc7\u53bb5\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u9500\u552e\u6570\u636e\u5206\u522b\u662f100\u3001120\u3001110\u3001115\u548c105\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e0b\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff1a\\<\/li><\/ul>100+120+110+115+1055=110\\frac{100 + 120 + 110 + 115 + 105}{5} = 1105100+120+110+115+105\u200b=110<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff08Regression Analysis\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u7528\u6765\u5206\u6790\u4e24\u4e2a\u6216\u591a\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e38\u7528\u4e8e\u53d1\u73b0\u9700\u6c42\u4e0e\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\uff08\u5982\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u5e7f\u544a\u652f\u51fa\u7b49\uff09\u7684\u5173\u8054\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4f8b\u5b50<\/strong>\uff1a\u7528\u9500\u552e\u4ef7\u683c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u7528\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u4e8c\u8005\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u9884\u6d4b\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u7684\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\uff08Exponential Smoothing Method\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u6839\u636e\u8fc7\u53bb\u6570\u636e\u7ed9\u4e88\u4e0d\u540c\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u6700\u8fd1\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u9002\u5408\u7528\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u9010\u6e10\u53d8\u5316\u4e14\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4f8b\u5b50<\/strong>\uff1a\u7528\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u7ed9\u4e88\u6700\u8fd1\u6570\u636e\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u8f83\u8fdc\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u8ddf\u8e2a\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u8be6\u7ec6\u4ecb\u7ecd <strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5<\/strong> \u53ca\u5176\u5e94\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e8c\u3001\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\uff08Exponential Smoothing Method\uff09<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u6982\u5ff5<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u8ba1\u7b97\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5\uff0c\u8be5\u65b9\u6cd5\u7ed9\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u503c\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u800c\u8f83\u65e9\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6743\u91cd\u8f83\u5c0f\u3002\u6743\u91cd\u7684\u5206\u914d\u662f\u901a\u8fc7<strong>\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570<\/strong> \u03b1\\alpha\u03b1\uff08\u4ecb\u4e8e0\u52301\u4e4b\u95f4\uff09\u6765\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u7684\u516c\u5f0f<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9884\u6d4b\u503c FtF_tFt\u200b \u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u4e3a\uff1aFt=\u03b1Dt\u22121+(1\u2212\u03b1)Ft\u22121F_t = \\alpha D_{t-1} + (1 &#8211; \\alpha) F_{t-1}Ft\u200b=\u03b1Dt\u22121\u200b+(1\u2212\u03b1)Ft\u22121\u200b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5176\u4e2d\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>FtF_tFt\u200b \u662f\u5f53\u524d\u5468\u671f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u03b1\\alpha\u03b1 \u662f\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570\uff08\u53d6\u503c\u8303\u56f4\u4e3a0\u52301\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dt\u22121D_{t-1}Dt\u22121\u200b \u662f\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u671f\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\u91cf<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ft\u22121F_{t-1}Ft\u22121\u200b \u662f\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u671f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570 \u03b1\\alpha\u03b1 \u7684\u9009\u62e9<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u03b1\\alpha\u03b1 \u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5bf9\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u7684\u91cd\u89c6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u573a\u666f\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u03b1\\alpha\u03b1 \u8d8a\u5c0f\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u66f4\u4f9d\u8d56\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\u8f83\u5e73\u7a33\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. \u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u7684\u4f18\u70b9<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u7b80\u5355\u6613\u7528\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u8fc7\u7a0b\u8f83\u4e3a\u76f4\u89c2\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5bf9\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5904\u7406\u66f4\u7075\u6d3b\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u8fc5\u901f\u9002\u5e94\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u6574\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570 \u03b1\\alpha\u03b1 \uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9002\u5e94\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6ce2\u52a8\u7c7b\u578b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. \u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u7684\u5c40\u9650<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u4e0d\u9002\u5408\u5e26\u6709\u663e\u8457\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6216\u5468\u671f\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u6ca1\u6709\u8003\u8651\u5468\u671f\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u968f\u7740 \u03b1\\alpha\u03b1 \u7684\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u8fc7\u9ad8\u6216\u8fc7\u4f4e\u7684\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e09\u3001\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5047\u8bbe\u67d0\u4f01\u4e1a\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\u6570\u636e\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u7b2c1\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\uff1a500<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7b2c2\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\uff1a520<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7b2c3\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\uff1a510<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7b2c4\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\uff1a530<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u521d\u59cb\u9884\u6d4b F1F_1F1\u200b \u4e3a500\uff0c\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570 \u03b1=0.4\\alpha = 0.4\u03b1=0.4\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u5982\u4e0b\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u7b2c2\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/strong>\uff1aF2=0.4\u00d7500+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7500=500F_2 = 0.4 \\times 500 + (1 &#8211; 0.4) \\times 500 = 500F2\u200b=0.4\u00d7500+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7500=500\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\u4e3a520\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e3a500\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7b2c3\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/strong>\uff1aF3=0.4\u00d7520+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7500=208+300=508F_3 = 0.4 \\times 520 + (1 &#8211; 0.4) \\times 500 = 208 + 300 = 508F3\u200b=0.4\u00d7520+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7500=208+300=508\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\u4e3a510\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e3a508\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7b2c4\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/strong>\uff1aF4=0.4\u00d7510+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7508=204+304.8=508.8F_4 = 0.4 \\times 510 + (1 &#8211; 0.4) \\times 508 = 204 + 304.8 = 508.8F4\u200b=0.4\u00d7510+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7508=204+304.8=508.8\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\u4e3a530\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e3a508.8\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7b2c5\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/strong>\uff1aF5=0.4\u00d7530+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7508.8=212+305.28=517.28F_5 = 0.4 \\times 530 + (1 &#8211; 0.4) \\times 508.8 = 212 + 305.28 = 517.28F5\u200b=0.4\u00d7530+(1\u22120.4)\u00d7508.8=212+305.28=517.28\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e3a517.28\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u63a8\u79fb\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u8ffd\u8e2a\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570 \u03b1\\alpha\u03b1 \u7684\u8c03\u6574\u80fd\u5e2e\u52a9\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u53cd\u6620\u8fd1\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u56db\u3001\u603b\u7ed3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5<\/strong> \u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7b80\u4fbf\u4e14\u5b9e\u7528\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u9010\u6e10\u53d8\u5316\u6216\u6709\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u7684\u573a\u666f\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5408\u7406\u8bbe\u5b9a\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570 \u03b1\\alpha\u03b1\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5e73\u7a33\u4e0e\u53d8\u52a8\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e4b\u95f4\u627e\u5230\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u5b9a\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u7684\u4f18\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e\u5b83\u5bf9\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u7ed9\u4e88\u66f4\u591a\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u80fd\u66f4\u5feb\u901f\u5730\u9002\u5e94\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p class=\"qua-blog-post-description\">\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ba1\u7406\u4e2d\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u73af\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u5408\u7406\u5b89\u6392\u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u5e93\u5b58\u548c\u9500\u552e\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5206\u4e3a\u5b9a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"epkb_post_type_1_category":[43],"epkb_post_type_1_tag":[],"class_list":["post-328","epkb_post_type_1","type-epkb_post_type_1","status-publish","hentry","epkb_post_type_1_category-production-and-material-control"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/epkb_post_type_1\/328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/epkb_post_type_1"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/epkb_post_type_1"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=328"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/epkb_post_type_1\/328\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":342,"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/epkb_post_type_1\/328\/revisions\/342"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"epkb_post_type_1_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fepkb_post_type_1_category&post=328"},{"taxonomy":"epkb_post_type_1_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laoni.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fepkb_post_type_1_tag&post=328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}